Real-time Pulse
“Top markets this week” with live tickers & spreads. Why it matters: volumes are surging to record highs; liquidity = better odds. DL News +1
Record week volume
$2,000,000,000
Learn, analyze, and chat with AI about the world’s fastest-growing prediction markets—politics, sports, tech, and more. Last week alone, volumes topped $2B across leading venues. DL News +2 Bloomberg +2
“Top markets this week” with live tickers & spreads. Why it matters: volumes are surging to record highs; liquidity = better odds. DL News +1
Ask natural-language questions, get probability ranges, rationale, and links to markets.
Plain-English updates on the evolving U.S. rulebook for event contracts (CFTC advisories, court rulings). cftc.gov +2 Reuters +2
Compare fees, KYC, market types (CFTC-regulated vs. crypto).
Compare PlatformsUnderstand the difference: e.g., Manifold (play money) vs. Kalshi/Polymarket (real-money tracks; differing regulatory paths). Manifold +2 Reuters +2
Prediction markets broke weekly records in Oct 2025—over $2B traded—driven by elections and sports contracts. DL News +1
“Will Candidate X win in Nov?” (Market overview + implied odds; note the week’s liquidity spike.) DL News
Rolling futures-style markets, updated probabilities. DL News
Yes/no by date buckets on whether lawmakers reach a fiscal agreement before key deadlines—similar to Kalshi-style event contracts. SportsHandle
“What’s the fair price for Team A to win?” “How might a CPI surprise move Outcome B?” Our model ingests market prices, recent headlines, and historical resolution notes to produce:
CFTC-regulated event contracts (e.g., Kalshi; exchange model, U.S. KYC). Reuters
Crypto prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket; decentralized settlement; expanding U.S. footprint via licensing/acquisition moves). Financial Times
Play-money & social (e.g., Manifold). Manifold
Note: Regulations evolve quickly. Always check venue-specific terms, listing certifications, and resolution criteria.
CFTC-regulated: yes/no event contracts; U.S. KYC; elections/sports/econ now in scope per evolving approvals and rulings. Reuters +1
Crypto: on-chain markets; notable U.S. licensing/acquisition move; big TradFi investment headlines. Financial Times +1
Play money: social markets + community forecasting. Manifold
Short briefs tying AI milestones to market pricing (e.g., AGI timelines, model releases, chip supply). Link to relevant community markets (like Manifold AI topics) for exploration. Manifold
Depends on venue and contract; regulated event contracts sit under CFTC oversight; crypto venues differ by jurisdiction. Foley & Lardner LLP +1
Incentives + liquidity can improve accuracy; still vulnerable to manipulation and information cascades. Bloomberg Law
No—check each platform’s eligibility and licensing (e.g., Kalshi vs. crypto platforms’ U.S. access). Reuters +1